Chip Rout Deepens as Semiconductors Sink 2.7%, but the Dow Edges Higher Ahead of Bank Earnings
Stocks finished mixed Monday as a 2.7% slide in semiconductors and a 2% jump in oil offset gains elsewhere. The Dow rose 0.4%, the S&P 500 slipped 0.1% and the Nasdaq fell 0.4% before JPMorgan, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo report Tuesday.
Stocks finished mixed Monday, Oct. 12, as continued weakness in semiconductor stocks offset gains across much of the broader market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.4%, while the S&P 500 fell 0.1%, the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4% and the Russell 2000 fell 0.5%. The S&P MidCap 400 also finished 0.4% lower.
The session was quiet on the surface. Stocks traded in relatively narrow ranges, with few major headlines and attention on the upcoming third-quarter earnings season. Underneath, the split was sharp: the PHLX Semiconductor Index fell 2.7% and AI-infrastructure names such as Lumentum and Ciena dropped almost 10%, while energy, communication services, health care and financials advanced. Crude oil rose 2.0%, and the Treasury market was closed for Columbus Day.
The numbers, by the close
| Index | Close | Point Change | % Change | Session Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJIA | 51,850 | +195.36 | +0.38% | The only major index to gain, helped by a limited exposure to chips. |
| S&P 500 | 7,807 | -4.34 | -0.06% | Essentially flat as gains in other sectors offset technology. |
| Nasdaq Composite | 27,245 | -120.27 | -0.44% | Pulled lower by semiconductor weakness. |
| Russell 2000 | 2,794 | -12.51 | -0.45% | Small caps lagged on the quiet, narrow tape. |
Year to date, the Nasdaq Composite is up 17.2%, the S&P 500 14.1%, the Russell 2000 12.6%, the S&P MidCap 400 10.6% and the Dow 7.9%.
ETF scoreboard
Semiconductor, cybersecurity and equal-weight tech funds led the declines, while energy and financials led the gains. The equal-weight Nasdaq 100 fund (QQEW, -1.06%) fell more than the cap-weighted QQQ (-0.70%), a sign the weakness was not confined to the biggest names. SOXX (-2.60%) also fell harder than SMH (-2.05%), which is consistent with differences in how the two funds weight their holdings.
| Category | ETF | Close | % Change | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broad Market | SPY (S&P 500) | $778.10 | -0.06% | Flat as gains outside tech offset the chip losses. |
| Broad Market | QQQ (Nasdaq 100) | $746.04 | -0.70% | Weighed down by semiconductor and AI-infrastructure losses. |
| Broad Market | QQEW (Nasdaq 100 Equal Wt.) | $162.14 | -1.06% | Fell more than cap-weighted QQQ as the sell-off reached beyond the largest names. |
| Broad Market | DIA (Dow 30) | $517.91 | +0.35% | Outperformed with little exposure to the chip rout. |
| Broad Market | IWM (Small Caps) | $277.90 | -0.37% | Slipped with the broader tape. |
| Sectors | XLK (Technology) | $196.36 | -1.22% | Semiconductor losses dragged the sector. |
| Sectors | XLE (Energy) | $66.01 | +1.43% | Followed crude higher on the Saudi-Houthi escalation. |
| Sectors | XLF (Financials) | $55.05 | +0.58% | Banks firmed ahead of earnings Tuesday. |
| Sectors | SMH (Semiconductors) | $590.99 | -2.05% | Memory and AI-infrastructure names led the losses. |
| Sectors | SOXX (Semiconductors) | $544.85 | -2.60% | Fell harder than SMH; the funds weight their holdings differently. |
| Sectors | CIBR (Cybersecurity) | $107.80 | -2.00% | Sold off with tech; the HACK cybersecurity ETF fell 2.69%. |
| Rates & Credit | TLT (Long-Term Treasuries) | $78.05 | +0.09% | Little changed with the Treasury market closed. |
| Rates & Credit | HYG (High Yield Corp Bonds) | $77.29 | +0.08% | Credit stayed calm. |
| Commodities & Alternatives | GLD (Gold) | $382.15 | -0.63% | Gold slipped as oil and equities drove the session. |
| Commodities & Alternatives | IBIT (Bitcoin ETF) | $46.86 | +0.67% | Rose even as tech sold off. |
VNQ, UUP, EFA, and EEM are not shown; their closes could not be verified for this session.
Market temperature
Dispersion was the story of the session. Lumentum and Ciena each fell almost 10%, Bloom Energy lost 6.47% and Sandisk lost 5.97%, yet the S&P 500 closed down just 0.06%. Moves of that size in a handful of stocks, absorbed almost entirely by gains elsewhere, show how much leadership has narrowed around AI-linked technology.
Rates, oil, gold, and crypto
With the Treasury market closed for Columbus Day, there was no official yield move to report, and the long-bond fund TLT finished little changed. The more active macro asset was crude, which rose after the Saudi-Houthi conflict escalated. Gold futures and the gold ETF both slipped about 0.6%, while the bitcoin ETF edged higher.
| Asset | Close or Level | Daily Change | % Change | Main Catalyst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude | $93.77 | +$1.85 | +2.0% | Saudi-Houthi escalation and the prospect of U.S. involvement. |
| Gold (GLD ETF) | $382.15 | -$2.43 | -0.63% | Slipped as oil and equity moves dominated trading. |
| Bitcoin (IBIT ETF) | $46.86 | +$0.31 | +0.67% | Edged higher despite the technology sell-off. |
| Long Treasuries (TLT ETF) | $78.05 | +$0.07 | +0.09% | Little changed with the Treasury market closed. |
Sectors: leaders and laggards
Leadership rotated away from technology and toward energy, communication services and defensive groups. Information technology was the largest drag, while higher oil prices weighed on consumer discretionary.
- Energy (sector +1.5%, XLE +1.43%) as WTI rose 2.0% to $93.77
- Communication services (+1.1%) on Meta's 3.38% gain and a rebound in wireless carriers
- Health care (+0.7%) in a defensive rotation
- Financials (XLF +0.58%) ahead of Tuesday's bank earnings
- Semiconductors (SOXX -2.60%, SMH -2.05%) as the PHLX Semiconductor Index fell 2.7%
- Cybersecurity (CIBR -2.00%, HACK -2.69%) as technology sold off
- Information technology (sector -0.9%, XLK -1.22%), the day's biggest drag
- Consumer discretionary (-0.7%) on higher oil prices and losses in Amazon and Chipotle
The day's market-moving stories
1. Semiconductors sell off again
The PHLX Semiconductor Index fell 2.7%, and the SOXX and SMH funds lost 2.60% and 2.05%. Nvidia (NVDA) slipped 1.29% to $226.32. Intel (INTC) was also down about 3% late in the session despite unveiling new data center GPU and Xeon rack details at the OCP Global Summit. The information technology sector, down 0.9%, was the biggest drag on the market.
2. China's CXMT adds to memory-chip pressure
Memory stocks faced more pressure after a CNBC report that China's ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) plans to begin producing next-generation memory chips, potentially intensifying competition with U.S. and South Korean manufacturers. Micron (MU) fell 3.88% to $989.04 and Sandisk (SNDK) fell 5.97% to $1,487.33.
3. AI-infrastructure names take heavy losses
The selling extended to other parts of the AI buildout. Lumentum (LITE) fell 9.78% to $995.41 and Ciena (CIEN) fell 9.99% to $404.86, both among the S&P 500's worst performers. Data center power-related names Bloom Energy (BE) and Generac (GNRC) fell 6.47% and 2.92%, weighing on industrials, which finished down 0.1%.
4. Oil climbs on a Saudi-Houthi escalation
WTI crude settled $1.85 higher, up 2.0%, at $93.77 a barrel after the conflict between Saudi Arabia and Houthi forces escalated over the weekend. President Trump indicated the U.S. could become involved, adding to geopolitical concerns. The energy sector gained 1.5%, extending its strong performance so far this month.
5. Meta leads communication services higher
Meta Platforms (META) rose 3.38% to $742.96. The company unveiled its Muse Wonder AI models, and a news report said Mark Zuckerberg hinted at a new “Watermelon” model in a recent interview. Alphabet (GOOG) added 0.32% and wireless carriers recovered part of Friday's losses, lifting the communication services sector 1.1%.
6. Apple gains while Amazon slips
Apple (AAPL) rose 1.29% to $340.97, one of the few large technology names to advance. Amazon (AMZN) fell 1.11% to $259.53 after a Wall Street Journal report that the company is discussing a roughly $7 billion acquisition of AI startup Decart.
7. Chipotle drops as Starbucks rules out a deal
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) fell 3.75% to $30.40 after CNBC reported that Starbucks is not considering an acquisition of the restaurant chain, contradicting reports from last week. Starbucks (SBUX) rose 1.69% to $92.28. Higher oil prices also weighed on the consumer discretionary sector, which finished down 0.7%.
8. Analyst and earnings catalysts lift eBay and Lamb Weston
eBay (EBAY) gained 2.19% to $114.65 after Morgan Stanley named it a Top Pick and raised its price target to $132 from $127, citing growth in Live Commerce. Lamb Weston (LW) rose 4.83% to $50.18 on continued buying after last week's better-than-expected earnings and increased guidance, helping consumer staples.
9. Banks report Tuesday as housing finance names slide
Four big banks report quarterly results Tuesday: JPMorgan Chase (JPM, +0.45% to $334.49), Citigroup (C, +1.77% to $131.93), Goldman Sachs (GS, -0.14% to $894.03) and Wells Fargo (WFC, -0.30% to $83.30). Separately, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac shares were down more than 12% at midday after Mizuho cut its price targets on fading privatization hopes.
10. A quiet tape with no data and a closed bond market
There was no economic data of note, and the U.S. Treasury market was closed for Columbus Day. Trading stayed in relatively narrow ranges, with a lack of major headlines and anticipation of third-quarter earnings season contributing to the subdued action. Beneath the surface, weakness in heavily weighted technology stocks contrasted with strength across several other sectors.
Movers below the headlines
Single-stock moves were larger than the index moves, and most traced to specific catalysts:
| Stock | Close | Change | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Meta Platforms (META) | $742.96 | +3.38% | Unveiled its Muse Wonder AI models, and a news report said Mark Zuckerberg hinted at a new “Watermelon” model in a recent interview. |
| Lumentum (LITE) | $995.41 | -9.78% | Among the S&P 500's worst performers as AI-infrastructure names sold off with the chip group. |
| Ciena (CIEN) | $404.86 | -9.99% | Fell almost 10% in the same AI-infrastructure retreat, the S&P 500's weakest stock of the session. |
| Micron (MU) | $989.04 | -3.88% | Fell after a CNBC report that CXMT plans to begin producing next-generation memory chips. |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) | $30.40 | -3.75% | Slid after CNBC reported that Starbucks is not considering an acquisition of the chain, contradicting reports from last week. |
| eBay (EBAY) | $114.65 | +2.19% | Morgan Stanley named it a Top Pick and raised its price target to $132 from $127, citing Live Commerce growth. |
Earnings spotlight
No major companies reported results that moved the broad market today. The focus is on the banks, which kick off the heart of third-quarter earnings season on Tuesday.
| Company | Reporting | Last close | Wall St focus |
|---|---|---|---|
| JPMorgan Chase (JPM) | Tuesday, Oct. 13 | $334.49 (+0.45%) | First read on bank earnings after a sharp sell-off in the group. |
| Citigroup (C) | Tuesday, Oct. 13 | $131.93 (+1.77%) | Rose into the report. |
| Goldman Sachs (GS) | Tuesday, Oct. 13 | $894.03 (-0.14%) | Closed little changed ahead of results. |
| Wells Fargo (WFC) | Tuesday, Oct. 13 | $83.30 (-0.30%) | Edged lower ahead of results. |
Key market & macro risks to watch
Semiconductors fell 2.7%, and the damage reached memory, optical and power-equipment names tied to the AI buildout. If the selling continues, the heavily weighted technology stocks that have carried the major averages could keep limiting gains elsewhere.
WTI rose 2.0% to $93.77 on the Saudi-Houthi escalation, and President Trump suggested the U.S. could get involved. A further supply scare would add to energy-driven inflation worries, and higher crude is already weighing on consumer discretionary stocks.
Investors face bank earnings Tuesday and an inflation report and retail sales later this week. A weak reading on spending or inflation could reset expectations quickly on a tape that has been range-bound.
The S&P 500 barely moved, but the equal-weight Nasdaq 100 (QQEW) fell 1.06% against 0.70% for QQQ, and several AI names dropped about 10%. Flat index levels are hiding unusually large moves in individual stocks.
What to watch next
The takeaway
- A flat index hid a big split. The Dow gained 0.4% while the Nasdaq fell 0.4% and semiconductors dropped 2.7%, with energy, communication services and health care providing the offset.
- AI-infrastructure stocks were the pressure point. Memory, optical and power-equipment names fell sharply, with Lumentum and Ciena each down almost 10%.
- The week turns to banks and data. JPMorgan, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo report Tuesday, followed by inflation and retail sales data.
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