Nelnet Beats Q3 2026 Estimates as Revenue Falls 12% to $436.6M
Revenue of $436.6M vs. $427.4M expected and adjusted EPS of $1.89 vs. $1.83; revenue down 12% from a year earlier.
Nelnet (NNI) beat estimates for the third quarter of 2026 on both revenue and adjusted EPS. Revenue was $436.6 million, down 12% from a year earlier, above the $427.4 million estimate, and adjusted EPS was $1.89, down 36% from a year earlier, above the $1.83 estimate.
Shares were unchanged in after-hours trading as of 4:00 p.m. ET, to $127.01 from a $127.01 close.
Q3 2026 scorecard
| Parameters | Expected | Actual | Beat/Miss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EPS | $1.83 | $1.89 | Beat by 3.3% |
| Revenue | $427.4M | $436.6M | Beat by 2.2% |
| Change | YoY | QoQ |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EPS | ▼ 36% | ▲ 6.8% |
| Revenue | ▼ 12% | ▲ 6.5% |
By our calculation, revenue was $9.2 million above the estimate and adjusted EPS was $0.06 above it. The QoQ column compares with the previous quarter's revenue of $410.0 million and adjusted EPS of $1.77. The YoY column compares with $494.6 million and $2.95 in the same quarter a year earlier.
Track record
- EPS record. Adjusted EPS beat the estimate in 5 of the last 8 reports, including this one.
- Revenue record. Revenue beat the estimate in 6 of the last 8 reports.
- Revenue trend. Revenue over the last 5 reports, oldest first: $494.6 million, $392.0 million, $419.1 million, $410.0 million and $436.6 million.
What to watch
- Next-quarter estimates. Consensus calls for EPS of $1.78 and revenue of $413.3 million next quarter, based on 1 analyst.
- Revenue growth. Whether revenue stabilizes after this quarter's 12% decline from a year earlier to $436.6 million.
- Estimate record. Whether Nelnet extends a record of beating EPS estimates in 5 of its last 8 reports.
- Related coverage. See our reports on StandardAero, Cloudflare, Moelis & and Main Street Capital.
Sources: Results are from Nelnet's Nov. 5, 2026 quarterly report. Estimates are consensus figures. The prior-quarter and year-ago comparison figures are from Nelnet's earlier quarterly reports. Items labeled by our calculation are our own arithmetic. This article is informational only and is not investment advice.
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