MarketCatalyst

Daily recaps, research and guides to how the market actually works.

Latest posts

Analysis

Sterling Infrastructure Has Lost Almost Half Its Value Since June. The Business Hasn't.

Sterling Infrastructure has fallen about 46% from its June record even as Q2 revenue rose 90% and backlog hit $5.6 billion. A stretched valuation, margin-mix worries, execution risk and $96 million of insider selling explain the gap between the stock and the business.

DDesk5 Oct 2026 · 10:25 ET7 min read
→
Analysis

The AI Bill Nobody Can Predict: Cheap Models Cost More Nearly 1 in 3 Times

Only 11% of 396 organizations forecast their AI spending within 10%, and a test of 6,800+ tasks found cheaper models cost more than premium ones 32% of the time, as token use swings by model, task and even repeat runs of the same prompt.

DDesk4 Oct 2026 · 23:31 ET6 min read
→
Analysis

Bloom Energy Climbs as Virginia's Energy Plan Names Fuel Cells a Preferred Power Source

Bloom Energy gained about 4% after Virginia's 2026 Energy Plan created a "non-combustion gas resource" category, named fuel cells a preferred near-term reliability technology, and called for up to 5 GW of deployments between 2029 and 2035.

DDesk4 Oct 2026 · 11:37 ET4 min read
→
Analysis

SCHD Slides as Treasury Yields Hit a 24-Year High and Bonds Outbid Dividends

SCHD has fallen about 6.5% from its August high as the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.34%, a 24-year high. Here is what the ETF holds, why investors favor it, and why a 3.2% dividend struggles to compete with a risk-free 5.3%.

DDesk4 Oct 2026 · 11:22 ET6 min read
→
Analysis

Avnet Hits a Record High on a Blowout Quarter and a Broad-Based Recovery

Avnet's fiscal Q4 sales hit a record $8.3 billion, up 48% year-over-year and far ahead of estimates, with adjusted EPS of $2.28 topping consensus by nearly 27% — sending shares to a fresh all-time high on signs the recovery extends well beyond AI demand.

DDesk3 Oct 2026 · 20:46 ET4 min read
→
Analysis

Nvidia Deepens Its CoreWeave Bet as the Neocloud's Backlog Hits $104 Billion

Nvidia's fresh $2 billion stake makes it CoreWeave's second-largest shareholder and secures early access to the Vera Rubin platform, arriving as CoreWeave's revenue backlog hits $104.2 billion — even as the company's capex guidance climbs to $35-39 billion to actually deliver it.

DDesk3 Oct 2026 · 12:03 ET5 min read
→